m-syy
0x0857bb24b2e3dc1385a8eb4c6911c599dbb9c3d7
- Realised P&L
- $647.27
- Volume
- $46.0k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $564.86
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 1? · No | 0.974 | 1.000 | $272.71 | +$7.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.978 | 1.000 | $100.26 | +$2.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1? · No | 0.978 | 0.966 | $87.93 | −$1.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 1? · No | 0.967 | 0.998 | $40.63 | +$1.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.976 | 1.000 | $36.22 | +$0.84 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.999 | $19.98 | +$0.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 1? · No | 0.979 | 0.999 | $7.13 | +$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on September 13? · No | 0.871 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.97at 0.958Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 11?
- +$12.73at 0.968Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 26?
- +$11.89at 0.966Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 30?
- +$11.44at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 21?
- +$11.30at 0.975Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.978 | $52.81 |
| 10-01 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.97 |
| 10-01 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.98 |
| 10-01 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.979 | $36.24 |
| 10-01 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $14.39 |
| 10-01 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.77 |
| 10-01 09:44 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.62 |
| 10-01 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.27 |
| 10-01 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.979 | $6.99 |
| 10-01 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $121.76 |
| 10-01 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9729473684 | $18.49 |
| 10-01 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.961 | $13.45 |
| 10-01 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.48 |
| 10-01 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.978 | $10.76 |
| 10-01 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.978 | $38.45 |