PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

topbig

0x084d2c1db4f5862ae4015dc7f8f8695d6b38c66a

Realised P&L
$367.11
Volume
$84.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$549.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$385.00$175.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0510.086$59.85+$24.15
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1980.110$41.80$33.43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2300.055$33.00$105.00
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.060$30.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-02 18:14Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?BUY0.46$230.00
01-28 18:07Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.09$90.00
01-02 02:44Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$560.00
12-16 04:57Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1960913706$38.63
12-05 05:04Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?BUY0.63$261.40
11-26 21:40Spurs vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.49$196.00