Rio777
0x08476ddac9ab56acd7af53ded8712cf9f62bb07b
- Realised P&L
- $-73.12
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $108.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.74at 0.766Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
- +$48.03at 0.547Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
- +$38.00at 0.400Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
- +$24.64at 0.691Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
- +$24.21at 0.666Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 17:45 | Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | BUY | 0.1574082793 | $50.00 |
| 06-25 21:36 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $50.00 |
| 06-25 21:36 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $25.00 |
| 06-24 11:50 | Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | BUY | 0.854368931 | $50.00 |
| 06-24 10:57 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4179104434 | $50.00 |
| 06-24 10:56 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 04-11 18:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 22:29 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $19.76 |
| 04-09 19:03 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 04-04 02:04 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 04-03 15:26 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 13:00 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 10:44 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 04-02 11:56 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 04-02 11:54 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |