flight123
0x083f1a7205cbd18f1f2f506a194022b18aa755fb
- Realised P&L
- $-9.93
- Volume
- $408.88
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $51.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.345 | $41.57 | +$11.57 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.175 | $9.96 | −$15.65 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.407 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.82at 0.392Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 05:32 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $15.63 |
| 07-20 14:40 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.95 |
| 07-20 14:37 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.304 | $13.18 |
| 07-19 00:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074999944 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 01:08 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.3919999945 | $17.00 |
| 07-16 03:54 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.2489254717 | $30.00 |