PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

lukatst

0x083c87f5f6b15a3f921ec5e266e65d4cbb8765f2

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$343.6k
Markets traded
14,460
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14,460
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September? · No0.8380.973$136.15+$18.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · No0.5860.935$129.96+$48.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · No0.7600.962$110.57+$23.18
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · Yes0.6080.795$92.27+$21.68
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes0.3860.455$91.91+$13.85
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? · No0.8410.944$86.85+$9.49
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19? · Up0.6490.895$85.19+$23.39
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes0.6750.785$84.11+$11.77
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes0.3830.485$77.60+$16.33
Ethereum Up or Down on September 19? · Up0.8350.984$76.75+$11.62
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? · No0.8710.895$62.64+$1.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · No0.8400.973$60.30+$8.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20? · No0.5800.996$59.73+$24.93
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? · No0.8180.887$49.67+$3.89
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19? · Yes0.7110.983$46.17+$12.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 07:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.8799999637$1.94
09-19 07:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.8799999637$1.94
09-19 05:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETBUY0.9099999719$1.94
09-19 05:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY0.8599999823$1.94
09-19 00:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.809999929$1.94
09-19 00:03Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.6099999984$30.00
09-18 19:46Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.2754098144$3.00
09-18 19:44Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.2599999896$3.00
09-18 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.2699999784$3.00
09-18 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.2599999896$3.00
09-18 19:41Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.2699999784$3.00
09-18 14:00Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?SELL0.872$71.50
09-18 12:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.839999948$1.94
09-18 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY0.9$1.94
09-18 12:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.8599999823$1.94