fdvg5egr
0x083934240be2259cbd105cb542041d5a0e85ee9c
- Realised P&L
- $152.52
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $6.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 251.5 · Under | 0.730 | 1.000 | $6.83 | +$1.84 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 · Over | 0.696 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.00at 0.780Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 4.5
- +$72.00at 0.760Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5
- +$4.37at 0.805Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5
- +$4.36at 0.980Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?
- +$3.75at 0.980Will NVIDIA reach $252 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 08:08 | Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 251.5 | BUY | 0.73 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.66 |
| 10-12 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on October 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.34 |
| 10-08 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.46 |
| 10-08 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.979 | $6.10 |
| 10-06 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.74 |
| 09-30 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $8.35 |
| 09-29 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.60 |
| 08-31 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.46 |
| 07-08 02:04 | Will Meta (META) close above $600 on July 8? | BUY | 0.97 | $8.73 |
| 07-01 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.985 | $5.90 |
| 06-23 00:46 | Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | BUY | 0.985 | $9.46 |
| 06-18 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 19? | BUY | 0.986 | $10.18 |
| 06-09 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 06-02 01:22 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on June 2? | BUY | 0.92005 | $7.36 |