PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fdvg5egr

0x083934240be2259cbd105cb542041d5a0e85ee9c

Realised P&L
$152.52
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$6.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 251.5 · Under0.7301.000$6.83+$1.84
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 · Over0.6960.000$0.00−$15.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 08:08Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 251.5BUY0.73$4.99
10-16 05:57Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 17?BUY0.998$20.66
10-12 12:28Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on October 13?BUY0.998$5.34
10-08 11:56Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 10?BUY0.96$6.46
10-08 06:25Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 9?BUY0.979$6.10
10-06 15:09Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 7?BUY0.998$5.74
09-30 00:18Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.997$8.35
09-29 12:20Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 30?BUY0.996$5.60
08-31 15:20Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 1?BUY0.998$7.46
07-08 02:04Will Meta (META) close above $600 on July 8?BUY0.97$8.73
07-01 01:29Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 2?BUY0.985$5.90
06-23 00:46Spread: Ghana (-1.5)BUY0.985$9.46
06-18 01:50Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 19?BUY0.986$10.18
06-09 01:21Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on June 10?BUY0.995$9.95
06-02 01:22Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on June 2?BUY0.92005$7.36