PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0837913717ebabbe2f2ef0d16bfd78963fb7098f

0x0837913717ebabbe2f2ef0d16bfd78963fb7098f

Realised P&L
$-336.80
Volume
$14.4k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$35.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 2? · Yes0.3610.130$35.45−$63.04
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 17? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$19.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 13? · Yes0.6060.000$0.00−$109.69
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00−$24.00
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on September 13? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.96
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 19? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$4.78
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on September 17? · Yes0.2210.000$0.00−$70.00
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on September 17? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 17? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? · Yes0.4580.000$0.00−$360.37
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17? · Yes0.3840.000$0.00−$32.00
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on September 19? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.23
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on September 13? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$2.39
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 12? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$75.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 06:29Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 2?BUY0.4729476224$11.49
09-30 06:28Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 2?BUY0.3502897262$87.00
09-19 04:57Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 19?BUY0.0313654009$4.78
09-18 14:37Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on September 19?BUY0.4$1.23
09-18 05:44Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.5436530501$146.37
09-18 05:43Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.4486680704$146.00
09-18 05:42Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.3540831916$68.00
09-18 05:40Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on September 18?BUY0.98$5.00
09-18 05:39Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18?SELL0.1330521643$34.77
09-17 11:53Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 17?BUY0.0297964877$16.19
09-17 11:52Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?BUY0.4195804196$12.00
09-17 11:51Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?BUY0.3837590254$32.00
09-17 11:50Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 17?BUY0.0061031018$5.00
09-17 11:49Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 17?BUY0.1305409987$5.00
09-17 11:49Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 17?BUY0.0970256998$6.00