0x0837913717ebabbe2f2ef0d16bfd78963fb7098f
0x0837913717ebabbe2f2ef0d16bfd78963fb7098f
- Realised P&L
- $-336.80
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $35.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.40at 0.417Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 16?
- +$120.89at 0.277Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 14?
- +$79.38at 0.617Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17?
- +$43.28at 0.697Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?
- +$25.60at 0.859Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.4729476224 | $11.49 |
| 09-30 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3502897262 | $87.00 |
| 09-19 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0313654009 | $4.78 |
| 09-18 14:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.23 |
| 09-18 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5436530501 | $146.37 |
| 09-18 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4486680704 | $146.00 |
| 09-18 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3540831916 | $68.00 |
| 09-18 05:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.1330521643 | $34.77 |
| 09-17 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0297964877 | $16.19 |
| 09-17 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4195804196 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.3837590254 | $32.00 |
| 09-17 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0061031018 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.1305409987 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0970256998 | $6.00 |