PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x083622f3db6302884659c9dd2e7d2fddf6a492f1

0x083622f3db6302884659c9dd2e7d2fddf6a492f1

Realised P&L
$-248.90
Volume
$17.3k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$303.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5200.635$163.71+$29.65
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8861.000$110.53+$12.51
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.1870.145$29.52−$8.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 08:45Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.886409867$98.02
09-25 08:57Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.1866717124$38.00
09-21 10:02Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?BUY0.8564261998$118.04
09-16 18:34Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9687024837$114.85
04-24 01:54NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets BUY0.6599999958$24.42
04-24 01:482026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.5$25.00
04-19 16:28Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?BUY0.4279999888$8.70
04-19 16:28Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?SELL0.034$2.80
04-17 16:00Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?BUY0.0589114811$19.90
04-17 15:592026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.52$26.00
04-17 13:20Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.6$93.67
04-17 13:19Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.8$281.03
04-17 13:18Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.8000297788$199.00
04-17 13:17Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?BUY0.6039392989$49.75
04-17 13:16Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.993$629.74