PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WillLin

0x08318851b0c546e3cbaa78fca8a50c1985f6dce1

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$1.21M
Markets traded
473
Open portfolio
$900.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded473
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25? · Yes0.0580.231$796.55+$596.55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25? · Yes0.0300.091$103.47+$69.36
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29? · Up0.2180.000$0.00$14.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00$1.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Up0.2820.000$0.00$7.25
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$70.87
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 17? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? · No0.0800.000$0.00$12.50
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 09:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?BUY0.03$34.11
09-19 09:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25?BUY0.058$200.00
09-16 10:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?BUY0.0143770662$34.28
09-16 10:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?BUY0.0369791068$200.00
08-12 10:16Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.018$94.54
08-09 16:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11?BUY0.0316066038$46.38
08-07 09:15Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?BUY0.0129949734$42.59
08-07 09:15Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?BUY0.0340707942$50.00
08-02 09:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8?BUY0.0456123867$14.48
08-02 09:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8?BUY0.1581395335$80.00
07-29 09:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2119999983$94.92
07-26 12:48Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.0699999896$5.87
07-26 12:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 1?BUY0.0103448277$2.00
07-26 12:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 1?BUY0.0280000003$3.00
07-26 12:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 1?BUY0.055822864$20.00