200-
0x08313c9bc5153fd376ed459b83991e59560255af
- Realised P&L
- $12.31
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $245.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 22? · No | 0.994 | 0.995 | $245.43 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.58at 0.939Will Solana reach $120 on September 21?
- +$2.29at 0.989Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21?
- +$1.23at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22?
- +$0.93at 0.995Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 20?
- +$0.65at 0.996Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.994 | $245.18 |
| 09-23 01:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $245.30 |
| 09-22 16:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.996 | $244.57 |
| 09-22 15:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.995 | $111.67 |
| 09-22 15:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.989 | $118.53 |
| 09-22 15:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.84 |
| 09-22 15:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.73 |
| 09-22 15:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 02:56 | Will Solana reach $120 on September 21? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.11 |
| 09-22 02:56 | Will Solana reach $120 on September 21? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-22 02:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.996 | $100.60 |
| 09-22 01:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $236.50 |
| 09-21 10:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $91.15 |
| 09-21 10:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9876353331 | $142.89 |
| 09-21 03:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $171.58 |