21M.General
0x0827ebfc3b4ed53663dedb8fb86b1d4ac754cdcf
- Realised P&L
- $-105.70
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 558
- Open portfolio
- $58.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded558
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.85at 0.172Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?
- +$35.57at 0.188Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?
- +$31.41at 0.227Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?
- +$25.76at 0.369Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?
- +$23.68at 0.323Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-19 14:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.84 | $6.30 |
| 09-14 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-13 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.18 |
| 09-13 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.53 | $0.21 |
| 09-13 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.43 | $6.45 |
| 09-13 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-13 10:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.50 |
| 09-11 00:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 00:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 00:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.6274509804 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 00:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 21:43 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | SELL | 0.71 | $10.65 |
| 09-06 21:42 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-06 21:42 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |