PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

21M.General

0x0827ebfc3b4ed53663dedb8fb86b1d4ac754cdcf

Realised P&L
$-105.70
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
558
Open portfolio
$58.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded558
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.305$10.68$1.57
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2900.365$7.30+$1.50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3220.370$5.56+$0.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.185$5.55$1.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.045$4.50$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 21? · Yes0.3800.445$4.45+$0.65
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2060.085$3.67$5.23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 21? · Yes0.2400.315$3.15+$0.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.145$2.90$0.90
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3090.549$2.75+$1.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.475$2.38$0.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.080$1.84$1.38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 21? · Yes0.3200.175$1.75$1.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · Yes0.5200.105$0.61$2.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · Yes0.3300.061$0.56$2.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 14:32Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 21?BUY0.32$3.20
09-19 14:30Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?SELL0.84$6.30
09-14 20:04Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 15?BUY0.18$1.80
09-13 10:46Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 13?BUY0.54$5.18
09-13 10:45Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 13?BUY0.53$0.21
09-13 10:43Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 14?BUY0.43$6.45
09-13 10:43Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14?BUY0.35$1.75
09-13 10:42Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 13?BUY0.5399999568$2.50
09-11 00:23Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.329999967$3.00
09-11 00:23Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?BUY0.5199999792$3.00
09-11 00:23Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?BUY0.6274509804$3.00
09-11 00:23Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.4$3.00
09-06 21:43Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?SELL0.71$10.65
09-06 21:42Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$0.01
09-06 21:42Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$0.01