21M.General
0x0827ebfc3b4ed53663dedb8fb86b1d4ac754cdcf
- Realised P&L
- $-51.26
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 459
- Open portfolio
- $54.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded459
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.83at 0.166Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?
- +$35.85at 0.183Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?
- +$25.92at 0.365Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?
- +$20.89at 0.268Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?
- +$19.13at 0.304Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 08-04 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 16:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.80 |
| 08-04 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 07-29 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 07-29 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 07-29 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 07-28 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 07-28 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.18 |
| 07-28 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.04 |
| 07-26 17:21 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.209 | $1.04 |