PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

amir-init

0x0821f5dd8a41f1c6c56ddc6f7cb4e8b361dd41fb

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$172.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-62.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3850.450$40.87+$5.87
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.8560.929$30.40+$2.40
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8500.835$19.65$0.35
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4990.485$19.45$0.55
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes0.8000.760$19.00$1.00
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.290$18.13$1.88
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.150$15.00+$0.00
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes0.4100.405$9.88$0.12
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.4600.000$0.00$50.00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.8490.000$0.00$3.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 16:59Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4299999991$10.00
09-22 15:50Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.4099999984$10.00
09-22 15:50Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.8$20.00
09-22 15:25Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999915$20.00
09-22 15:23Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4987531172$20.00
09-22 15:08Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
09-22 14:53Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$20.00
09-22 14:46Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999976$25.00
09-13 14:39Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.9899999903$100.00
09-13 14:29Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.9599999693$10.00
09-13 14:28Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.96$20.00
09-13 14:25Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.8899999648$20.00
09-13 14:24Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.9572368396$30.00
09-13 14:20Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.8399999933$10.00
09-13 14:18Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.8909952421$10.00