moneyyyrich
0x08210a167bbd6a12c6009de7f87bf39f2ed36154
- Realised P&L
- $-269.80
- Volume
- $42.7k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $2.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? · Up | 0.430 | 0.405 | $2.39 | −$0.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.53 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.80at 0.493EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$19.26at 0.884Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
- +$16.50at 0.260Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$5.65at 0.990Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$5.61at 0.380Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:50 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | SELL | 0.5269491525 | $3.11 |
| 10-20 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.35 |
| 10-20 02:55 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.35 |
| 10-20 01:10 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.29 |
| 10-20 00:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.29 |
| 10-19 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.29 |
| 10-19 21:12 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.35 |
| 10-18 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $23.53 |
| 10-18 19:29 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $23.53 |
| 10-17 19:55 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $11.76 |
| 10-17 19:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $11.76 |
| 10-17 16:53 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $11.62 |
| 10-16 20:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.65 |
| 10-16 08:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.45 | $5.29 |
| 10-16 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16? | SELL | 0.44 | $25.88 |