nani
0x081a3b357baafc91af26f83f622e2652668c66d0
- Realised P&L
- $-17.4k
- Volume
- $2.80M
- Markets traded
- 6,225
- Open portfolio
- $308.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,225
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.500Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.7kat 0.100Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
- +$1.4kat 0.500Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
- +$1.0kat 0.497Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
- +$691.15at 0.466Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 02:54 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | SELL | 0.943 | $19.80 |
| 08-05 02:53 | Will the Democratic Party win the IN-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.93 | $47.43 |
| 08-05 02:53 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-25 House seat? | SELL | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-05 02:43 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $0.24 |
| 08-05 02:42 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $1.31 |
| 08-05 02:34 | Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.048 | $1.04 |
| 08-05 02:26 | Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.151 | $7.70 |
| 08-05 02:09 | Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.36 |
| 08-05 02:08 | Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.96 |
| 08-05 01:58 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.417 | $10.01 |
| 08-05 01:41 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.926 | $19.45 |
| 08-05 00:59 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.111 | $6.11 |
| 08-05 00:34 | Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event | SELL | 0.1019607843 | $5.20 |
| 08-05 00:33 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $30.85 |
| 08-05 00:23 | Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | SELL | 0.743 | $15.60 |