PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nani

0x081a3b357baafc91af26f83f622e2652668c66d0

Realised P&L
$-16.8k
Volume
$3.01M
Markets traded
6,616
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,616
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? · Yes0.5740.980$237.20+$98.37
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.0050.373$116.20+$114.76
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · No0.8190.583$106.38$43.09
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0040.374$97.31+$96.31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0040.372$96.47+$95.47
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September? · Yes0.3110.295$92.63$5.09
Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? · Yes0.9310.838$83.75$9.35
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.0040.306$73.71+$72.71
Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes0.1700.350$70.00+$36.00
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? · Yes0.5100.590$59.00+$8.00
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September? · Yes0.1910.590$59.00+$39.86
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 5% or more? · Yes0.0060.351$56.56+$55.56
Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 50k and 60k? · Yes0.1900.460$48.76+$28.62
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0060.268$45.77+$44.77
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 13m? · Yes0.0200.135$44.72+$38.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 07:55Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?SELL0.87$123.54
09-19 04:39Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?BUY0.022$1.25
09-19 04:19Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.21$14.70
09-19 04:15Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.17$34.00
09-18 16:27Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19?BUY0.037$5.18
09-18 16:19Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 18?BUY0.274$27.40
09-18 15:36Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.08$1.60
09-18 14:57Will Solana reach $120 in September?BUY0.42$42.00
09-18 14:52Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?SELL0.3725$7.45
09-18 14:49Will Solana reach $120 in September?BUY0.3927245053$18.06
09-18 14:18Will Solana reach $110 in September?BUY0.9204641459$50.00
09-18 10:38Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?BUY0.51$51.00
09-18 08:44Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.26$20.80
09-18 07:50Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?BUY0.14$14.00
09-18 07:13Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.28$42.00