nani
0x081a3b357baafc91af26f83f622e2652668c66d0
- Realised P&L
- $-16.8k
- Volume
- $3.01M
- Markets traded
- 6,616
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,616
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.500Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.7kat 0.100Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
- +$1.4kat 0.500Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
- +$1.0kat 0.497Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
- +$691.15at 0.466Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 07:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $123.54 |
| 09-19 04:39 | Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.25 |
| 09-19 04:19 | Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.21 | $14.70 |
| 09-19 04:15 | Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 09-18 16:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19? | BUY | 0.037 | $5.18 |
| 09-18 16:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 18? | BUY | 0.274 | $27.40 |
| 09-18 15:36 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 14:57 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 09-18 14:52 | Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | SELL | 0.3725 | $7.45 |
| 09-18 14:49 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | BUY | 0.3927245053 | $18.06 |
| 09-18 14:18 | Will Solana reach $110 in September? | BUY | 0.9204641459 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 10:38 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 09-18 08:44 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.26 | $20.80 |
| 09-18 07:50 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 09-18 07:13 | Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.28 | $42.00 |