8ll01dyvqwek
0x081070cc07b8e2e3f85ff77e2d6bd3fdb87c2e43
- Realised P&L
- $3.87
- Volume
- $154.48
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $19.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.635 | $11.45 | +$4.06 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.295 | $8.43 | −$1.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.40at 0.492Solana Up or Down - July 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$-0.46at 0.875Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- +$-1.39at 0.502Solana Up or Down - July 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
- +$-1.41at 0.492Solana Up or Down - July 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$-2.54at 0.492Solana Up or Down - July 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 17:29 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 09:00 | Solana Up or Down - July 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $10.52 |
| 07-18 08:59 | Solana Up or Down - July 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 13:32 | Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election? | BUY | 0.41 | $7.39 |
| 07-17 12:47 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.85 | $9.88 |
| 07-14 11:14 | Solana Up or Down - July 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $2.87 |
| 07-14 11:14 | Solana Up or Down - July 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 13:29 | Solana Up or Down - July 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $4.04 |
| 07-13 13:29 | Solana Up or Down - July 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 06:44 | Solana Up or Down - July 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $4.06 |
| 07-13 06:44 | Solana Up or Down - July 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 19:09 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.8599999742 | $10.00 |