0x080caec79a1e48b9177f8597c2edab9e4ff7e713
- Realised P&L
- $1.97
- Volume
- $140.21
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $100.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.995 | $10.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 20? · No | 0.955 | 0.988 | $10.35 | +$0.35 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 19? · Up | 0.950 | 0.979 | $10.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 19? · No | 0.961 | 0.985 | $10.25 | +$0.25 |
| XRP Up or Down on September 19? · Up | 0.950 | 0.970 | $10.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20? · No | 0.978 | 0.976 | $9.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 19? · No | 0.959 | 0.947 | $9.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 20? · No | 0.969 | 0.950 | $9.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? · No | 0.950 | 0.916 | $9.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 20? · No | 0.964 | 0.923 | $9.58 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.53at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
- +$0.29at 0.972Solana Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$0.20at 0.981Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 18?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:15 | XRP Up or Down on September 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 04:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9589999702 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 04:30 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 19? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 20:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9609999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:45 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9689999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:30 | Solana Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9779999881 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 17:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 20? | BUY | 0.954999926 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 17:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9639999985 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 17:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 16:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9689999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 05:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $1.64 |
| 08-23 05:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |