rgrdddv
0x080bcc7d9e5f2edd915f5eeb72a6c3c6764636fb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $171.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,116
- Open portfolio
- $290.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,116
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.64at 0.062Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$173.95at 0.049Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
- +$161.54at 0.045Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
- +$129.54at 0.099Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
- +$116.52at 0.044NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 11:18 | Will Rachel Rohrabacher qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-27 03:47 | Will Parris Todd reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.12 |
| 09-22 11:39 | Will Ghazl El Mahalla be relegated from the 2026-27 Egypt Premier League? | SELL | 0.5243333333 | $62.92 |
| 09-22 11:39 | Will Amazon be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-22 11:38 | Will Mistral be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-22 11:37 | Will Paige Bueckers have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 09-22 11:35 | Will HNK Gorica be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL? | SELL | 0.6996773632 | $80.46 |
| 09-22 11:34 | Will Kristiansund be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien? | SELL | 0.4 | $48.00 |
| 09-22 11:34 | Will V-Varen Nagasaki be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League? | SELL | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 09-20 03:48 | Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-20 03:44 | Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.7881777778 | $44.34 |
| 09-20 03:14 | Will Lauren Boebert resign by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $8.40 |
| 09-20 02:53 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-20 02:40 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.9105463117 | $16.42 |
| 09-20 02:40 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.059 | $1.06 |