davyguy
0x080a2577cd6ae39b3f4fb75da410bb70f4343845
- Realised P&L
- $-926.92
- Volume
- $25.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.151 | $1.5k | −$379.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.200Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?
- +$36.68at 0.620Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
- +$5.39at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 4?
- +$-85.00at 0.440LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)
- +$-100.00at 0.580Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 03:34 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $53.17 |
| 10-10 08:07 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $23.85 |
| 10-02 22:03 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $19.14 |
| 09-30 04:18 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $28.05 |
| 09-29 21:54 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.80 |
| 03-20 20:47 | Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026? | BUY | 0.1962843232 | $34.67 |
| 10-25 19:21 | Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.5199999994 | $73.85 |
| 10-24 19:17 | Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.5 | $72.95 |
| 10-24 19:15 | Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.0424758018 | $49.96 |
| 10-24 00:59 | Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.48 | $44.28 |
| 10-23 10:40 | Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.4818114428 | $297.14 |
| 10-23 10:38 | Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.449486651 | $189.74 |
| 10-23 07:00 | Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.4391042449 | $218.73 |
| 10-23 03:04 | Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.44 | $66.33 |
| 10-21 18:32 | LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $85.00 |