Dktb
0x07fb113c9fcb549ceaee69b137e0ee6e959c4696
- Realised P&L
- $38.1k
- Volume
- $1.47M
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $23.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? · No | 0.968 | 0.978 | $18.2k | +$176.71 |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev · Novak Djokovic | 0.420 | 0.445 | $5.0k | +$282.38 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.940 | $323.36 | +$65.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.949Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
- +$5.2kat 0.967Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.959Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$3.1kat 0.974Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
- +$2.9kat 0.979Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 19:49 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 0.42 | $1.8k |
| 10-04 10:08 | China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.29 | $290.00 |
| 10-03 11:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | BUY | 0.968 | $18.0k |
| 10-02 16:50 | Jingshan: Emerson Jones vs Alexandra Shubladze | BUY | 0.56 | $201.04 |
| 09-04 06:40 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.65 | $325.00 |
| 09-01 19:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.979 | $17.6k |
| 07-11 10:28 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.75 | $7.5k |
| 06-03 14:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6862788869 | $3.7k |
| 05-21 17:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.8925033385 | $2.3k |
| 05-21 17:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.897352982 | $9.0k |
| 05-21 16:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9496934489 | $11.2k |
| 05-18 06:26 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.9k |
| 05-17 15:59 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.7k |
| 05-16 04:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.2k |
| 05-15 05:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? | BUY | 0.993 | $8.4k |