PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kry67

0x07ea98d4a541b4bbc9e7f2910d21b40b42357fc4

Realised P&L
$42.63
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$201.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No0.6700.645$64.43−$2.50
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? · No0.8000.780$39.57−$1.01
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5100.465$34.79−$3.37
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? · No0.3500.255$25.50−$9.50
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Yes0.4000.355$21.92−$2.78
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.2500.105$14.82−$20.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 20:55Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.26$41.08
09-30 20:42Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?SELL0.86$105.84
09-30 11:07Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.34$147.67
09-29 07:30Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.37$15.31
09-29 06:48US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?SELL0.07$5.75
09-28 22:01Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.5451942315$41.96
09-28 07:45Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$29.19
09-28 07:44Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?SELL0.25$6.97
09-28 00:36Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1958536585$10.04