kry67
0x07ea98d4a541b4bbc9e7f2910d21b40b42357fc4
- Realised P&L
- $42.63
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $201.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No | 0.670 | 0.645 | $64.43 | −$2.50 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.780 | $39.57 | −$1.01 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.465 | $34.79 | −$3.37 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.255 | $25.50 | −$9.50 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.355 | $21.92 | −$2.78 |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.105 | $14.82 | −$20.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.60at 0.560Trump renames AI by December 31?
- +$39.79at 0.190Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$31.45at 0.250Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
- +$19.77at 0.270Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
- +$12.35at 0.460Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $41.08 |
| 09-30 20:42 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $105.84 |
| 09-30 11:07 | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $147.67 |
| 09-29 07:30 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $15.31 |
| 09-29 06:48 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.75 |
| 09-28 22:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.5451942315 | $41.96 |
| 09-28 07:45 | Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $29.19 |
| 09-28 07:44 | Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.97 |
| 09-28 00:36 | Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1958536585 | $10.04 |