0x07e5dd760d4fde5e65ad2888e4cbc7d20792e26b
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $86.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.385 | $23.86 | −$6.51 |
| Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage · Lilmix | 0.428 | 0.505 | $20.72 | +$3.15 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.694 | 0.685 | $16.59 | −$0.22 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No | 0.324 | 0.389 | $11.06 | +$1.84 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.745 | $5.94 | +$0.12 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.710 | 0.775 | $5.26 | +$0.44 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.335 | $3.11 | +$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.86at 0.594Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)
- +$-17.89at 0.552Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 21:02 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.98 |
| 11-02 20:23 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.06 |
| 11-02 14:52 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 14:52 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 14:52 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 14:52 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.4699998385 | $1.31 |
| 11-02 14:51 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.4499999857 | $1.57 |
| 11-02 14:51 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.4699999395 | $1.32 |
| 11-02 14:50 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.4699999232 | $2.57 |
| 11-02 14:50 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.4299999708 | $1.03 |
| 11-02 14:46 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.4 | $1.29 |
| 11-02 14:46 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 14:46 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 14:46 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 14:46 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.3699999836 | $2.48 |