PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ngfn176

0x07e5627a4bf77d2c0d03e3770821cba2c6f24b14

Realised P&L
$-4.16
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$233.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? · No0.8860.915$82.41+$2.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18? · No0.8990.977$79.87+$6.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 16? · No0.9480.989$70.40+$2.89
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 17? · Yes0.1900.125$0.76−$0.39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 15? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 7? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 19:54Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 16?SELL0.967$1.26
10-16 19:31Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 16?SELL0.959$2.45
10-16 18:06Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 16?SELL0.949$3.09
10-16 17:55Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 16?BUY0.965$29.27
10-16 17:27Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 17?BUY0.1899999868$1.15
10-16 17:20Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 16?BUY0.9379999988$44.99
10-16 15:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?SELL0.999$71.95
10-16 15:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?SELL0.998$3.28
10-16 14:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?BUY0.9849999994$74.19
10-16 13:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?BUY0.9719999871$16.52
10-16 12:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?BUY0.9718386186$30.11
10-16 12:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?BUY0.9739999862$27.44
10-16 12:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?SELL0.9636028636$12.79
10-16 10:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?BUY0.9579999973$12.72
10-16 03:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.9719075539$73.53