0x07dd93729632bef8b3a522f8079efd483990ae34
- Realised P&L
- $-350.04
- Volume
- $63.4k
- Markets traded
- 563
- Open portfolio
- $10.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded563
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenos Aires 2: Federico Aguilar Cardozo vs Ryan Dickerson · Federico Aguilar Cardozo | 0.959 | 0.949 | $4.74 | −$0.05 |
| Will Garrett Wilson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.625 | $3.13 | +$0.28 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No | 0.888 | 0.986 | $1.62 | +$0.16 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.018 | $0.66 | +$0.04 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5) · Buccaneers | 0.060 | 0.059 | $0.30 | −$0.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.125 | $0.18 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.29at 0.109Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
- +$51.36at 0.412Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
- +$49.94at 0.726Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$48.31at 0.168Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
- +$40.58at 0.080Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 21:05 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.39 |
| 09-20 21:00 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.40 |
| 09-20 20:44 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.40 |
| 09-20 20:30 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.41 |
| 09-20 20:00 | Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 09-20 20:00 | Buenos Aires 2: Federico Aguilar Cardozo vs Ryan Dickerson | BUY | 0.959 | $4.79 |
| 09-20 19:30 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.0285222222 | $2.57 |
| 09-20 19:16 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-20 19:00 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 09-20 19:00 | Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 09-20 19:00 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.037 | $0.18 |
| 09-20 18:30 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.11 |
| 09-20 18:13 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | SELL | 0.051 | $0.26 |
| 09-20 18:13 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.28 |
| 09-20 18:00 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |