Funiculi
0x07d601375c9bbb9037ad3c7a8f8fa0deff8164fb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $155.8k
- Markets traded
- 701
- Open portfolio
- $241.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded701
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$249.89at 0.706Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?
- +$243.50at 0.879Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 6?
- +$171.12at 0.612Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?
- +$140.38at 0.743Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?
- +$116.55at 0.858Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 19:53 | Will Hong Kong have less than 20mm of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.947 | $18.94 |
| 10-02 19:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.73 | $77.07 |
| 10-02 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.7727417504 | $53.86 |
| 10-02 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.73 |
| 10-02 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.47 | $3.76 |
| 10-02 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.5745733678 | $17.78 |
| 10-02 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.6370523594 | $19.71 |
| 10-02 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.7536434267 | $36.86 |
| 10-02 08:51 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $19.21 |
| 10-01 14:37 | Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.81 |
| 09-29 19:45 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.8090654361 | $389.23 |
| 09-29 13:47 | Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.7182914573 | $22.87 |
| 09-29 12:28 | Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.998 | $7.79 |
| 09-29 12:28 | Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.72 |