PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

akalen

0x07d38f7f2aa1378c16143d0b32a291fc8774a4df

Realised P&L
$27.70
Volume
$18.2k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$169.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.3780.305$169.77$40.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$94.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$22.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 10:41Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.32796216$8.32
09-17 10:35Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.29$25.68
09-16 21:08Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?SELL0.5$10.00
09-16 21:05Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.5$46.95
09-13 11:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$22.05
09-12 21:01Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.41$102.50
09-11 08:58Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?SELL0.79$69.93
09-04 20:34Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.0551633866$20.00
09-04 20:32Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.64$100.00
09-04 20:29Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?BUY0.5399999935$25.00
09-04 19:46Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.7799999978$50.00
09-04 18:45Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.8299999996$147.00
09-04 18:43Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?SELL0.78$49.14
09-04 18:25Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?BUY0.6699999987$69.50
09-04 18:00Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY0.8$150.00