akalen
0x07d38f7f2aa1378c16143d0b32a291fc8774a4df
- Realised P&L
- $27.70
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $169.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes | 0.378 | 0.305 | $169.77 | −$40.54 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.50 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.65at 0.639Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$44.10at 0.681Will CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
- +$42.41at 0.824Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
- +$33.97at 0.749Will Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$23.15at 0.467Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:41 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.32796216 | $8.32 |
| 09-17 10:35 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.29 | $25.68 |
| 09-16 21:08 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 21:05 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $46.95 |
| 09-13 11:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $22.05 |
| 09-12 21:01 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.41 | $102.50 |
| 09-11 08:58 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | SELL | 0.79 | $69.93 |
| 09-04 20:34 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.0551633866 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 20:32 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 20:29 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.5399999935 | $25.00 |
| 09-04 19:46 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 18:45 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8299999996 | $147.00 |
| 09-04 18:43 | Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.78 | $49.14 |
| 09-04 18:25 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $69.50 |
| 09-04 18:00 | Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8 | $150.00 |