palkons321
0x07d2eab04e512275b6b032a6b77cb72bc087fd88
- Realised P&L
- $-5.20
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $1.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.26at 0.740Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
- +$3.90at 0.610Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?
- +$1.78at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$1.67at 0.550Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?
- +$1.64at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 15:34 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in October? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $4.36 |
| 09-11 18:59 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September? | BUY | 0.7384276199 | $3.35 |
| 08-22 08:17 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 23:18 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 09:42 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:10 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.02 |
| 07-19 21:23 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3324998662 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 18:27 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 08:52 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.383 | $2.07 |
| 07-08 08:58 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:54 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 07:58 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 07:57 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 07:55 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 10:17 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 30? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.72 |