PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x07cdb43d2d7501a926390ac0cf8c6060e251fbc0

0x07cdb43d2d7501a926390ac0cf8c6060e251fbc0

Realised P&L
$-40.45
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$24.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.585$10.21−$0.79
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes0.5900.590$10.00+$0.00
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? · No0.6200.570$2.76−$0.24
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.635$1.81−$0.19
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026? · No0.6700.005$0.06−$6.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 22:16Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.699999965$2.00
09-28 22:15Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?BUY0.6199999587$3.00
09-28 22:00Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.5899999841$10.00
09-28 21:59Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6299999805$11.00
09-25 15:28Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999809$7.00
07-07 20:34Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.3799999949$34.18
07-07 15:35Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.739999996$25.91
07-06 20:53Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.919999977$24.00
07-05 21:42Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.6099999867$39.85
05-23 22:59Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenSELL0.49$11.59
05-23 20:49Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenBUY0.93$22.00
05-03 18:45Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.62$3.29
05-03 18:45Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?SELL0.11$4.07
05-03 18:09Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.4299999941$15.92
04-30 19:57Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?BUY0.7099999702$5.00