from.nothing.to.something
0x07cb0b2f6268adc11db1246034a8b79c3b404a30
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $67.3k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pacers · Nets | 0.380 | 0.405 | $1.6k | +$98.40 |
| Clippers vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.602 | 0.555 | $1.4k | −$119.59 |
| Raptors vs. Lakers · Raptors | 0.370 | 0.415 | $830.00 | +$90.00 |
| Raptors vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.370 | 0.365 | $194.18 | −$2.66 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.673 | 0.785 | $130.45 | +$18.60 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Magic | 0.340 | 0.215 | $87.50 | −$50.88 |
| Clippers vs. Warriors · Clippers | 0.392 | 0.445 | $21.59 | +$2.60 |
| Wizards vs. Magic · Magic | 0.529 | 0.525 | $17.71 | −$0.14 |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves · Clippers | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$512.76 |
| Hornets vs. Pistons · Hornets | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.53 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.08 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.379 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.59 |
| Nets vs. Celtics · Nets | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.92 |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.82 |
| Kings vs. Pelicans · Kings | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.322Warriors vs. Nuggets
- +$1.3kat 0.340Rockets vs. Mavericks
- +$887.00at 0.500Cavaliers vs. Hawks
- +$870.84at 0.410Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?
- +$858.00at 0.480Timberwolves vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:44 | Celtics vs. Magic | SELL | 0.3718641115 | $213.45 |
| 11-01 20:44 | Celtics vs. Magic | SELL | 0.36 | $171.36 |
| 11-01 14:10 | Nets vs. Pacers | SELL | 0.38 | $240.16 |
| 11-01 03:05 | Clippers vs. Warriors | SELL | 0.57 | $330.60 |
| 11-01 02:59 | Clippers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 11-01 02:38 | Clippers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.4188761425 | $3.28 |
| 11-01 02:18 | Clippers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.58 | $9.86 |
| 11-01 00:16 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.64 | $1.28 |
| 11-01 00:16 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.64 | $10.88 |
| 11-01 00:16 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.64 | $1.30 |
| 11-01 00:16 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.64 | $15.36 |
| 11-01 00:01 | Clippers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.36 | $3.24 |
| 10-31 17:00 | 76ers vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.4989795918 | $24.45 |
| 10-31 07:43 | Thunder vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.3890320988 | $63.02 |
| 10-31 07:43 | Thunder vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.39 | $205.14 |