rddrgtfdgtd
0x07c443d8aee18aeccfb38efb332e87cf7e0f17c4
- Realised P&L
- $-110.72
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $70.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.860Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B
- +$1.67at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
- +$1.41at 0.032Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
- +$1.22at 0.590Will "UFC" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)
- +$1.06at 0.904Poland vs. Germany
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 05:01 | Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on September 25? | BUY | 0.6430159792 | $4.79 |
| 09-25 04:57 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 04:54 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 04:54 | Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $5.08 |
| 09-24 08:35 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2899999963 | $4.69 |
| 09-24 08:34 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 08:34 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 05:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999889 | $14.83 |
| 09-24 05:47 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.2788461536 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | SELL | 0.31 | $9.01 |
| 09-23 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |