zxfgnHolt0500
0x07ba14e36fe411a925a4a5776c540705be0a5595
- Realised P&L
- $160.02
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $42.88
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.685 | $27.40 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) · Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.220 | 0.215 | $15.48 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.87at 0.500Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$154.07at 0.500Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$149.87at 0.500Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$46.88at 0.306Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
- +$36.00at 0.368Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:54 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.994 | $42.96 |
| 10-20 08:54 | Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.71 | $28.40 |
| 10-20 08:52 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.994 | $128.86 |
| 10-20 08:52 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.22 | $15.84 |
| 10-20 08:50 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $172.00 |
| 09-10 11:23 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.76 | $28.12 |
| 09-07 02:00 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.43 | $18.49 |
| 08-13 02:22 | Will San Diego FC vs. Club Puebla end in a draw? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 07-29 03:37 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $14.50 |
| 07-16 02:50 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.357 | $20.35 |
| 07-01 09:43 | Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.3 | $20.27 |
| 06-12 09:55 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.47 | $29.38 |
| 05-28 08:07 | Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $26.97 |
| 05-28 08:06 | Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.00 |
| 05-28 01:45 | Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-31? | BUY | 0.81 | $35.32 |