0x07b53Ab0969a637B1acc1429c914D4F7ce728C35-1762618366752
0x07b53ab0969a637b1acc1429c914d4f7ce728c35
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $25.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.925 | 0.922 | $9.22 | −$0.03 |
| Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30? · No | 0.882 | 0.892 | $8.93 | +$0.10 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.770 | 0.725 | $7.25 | −$0.45 |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.50 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.20at 0.490Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$3.22at 0.952Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
- +$1.00at 0.870Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?
- +$0.08at 0.984Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$0.00at 0.810U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 11:36 | Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30? | BUY | 0.882 | $8.82 |
| 09-25 10:03 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.925 | $9.25 |
| 09-23 12:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 12-31 18:26 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 12-27 18:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.984 | $5.01 |
| 11-14 16:12 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0899999996 | $200.00 |
| 11-14 16:12 | Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | BUY | 0.3499999998 | $800.00 |
| 11-13 22:00 | Maduro out by November 30, 2025? | BUY | 0.9519999949 | $63.90 |
| 11-10 18:04 | Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9? | SELL | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 11-10 17:27 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 11-10 17:10 | Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 11-09 08:47 | Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 11-08 17:55 | U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 11-08 17:53 | U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown? | SELL | 0.81 | $81.00 |