0x07ac8899017643559393f40af889ef3d44054dfa
0x07ac8899017643559393f40af889ef3d44054dfa
- Realised P&L
- $-9.50
- Volume
- $160.77
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $5.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $197.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.915 | $2.91 | +$0.62 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.410 | $2.24 | −$0.05 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.021 | $0.13 | −$2.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.11at 0.430Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$2.98at 0.440S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$2.07at 0.530Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.560US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$1.53at 0.600US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999963 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 18:38 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $197.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 21:55 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999001 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 05:52 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 08:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.5999999388 | $1.96 |
| 09-07 17:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.29 |
| 09-02 20:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5599999902 | $2.29 |
| 09-01 11:32 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $2.29 |
| 08-20 21:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.54999994 | $2.29 |
| 08-16 09:40 | Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 08-13 14:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.209999945 | $2.29 |
| 08-13 06:22 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.29 |
| 08-10 10:13 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999065 | $2.29 |
| 08-08 12:42 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.7799999659 | $2.29 |
| 08-08 04:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |