0x07a06df1a2ff498aa8b2852aa23ca741011bab36
0x07a06df1a2ff498aa8b2852aa23ca741011bab36
- Realised P&L
- $-10.52
- Volume
- $72.49
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $3.06 | +$0.06 |
| Blues vs. Senators · Senators | 0.502 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.02at 0.602Capitals vs. Hurricanes
- +$0.01at 0.996Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
- +$-0.15at 0.820Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.34at 0.710Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?
- +$-1.30at 0.291LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs G2 HEL (BO5) - LGC Rising Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 19:41 | Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.35 |
| 10-15 01:02 | Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199996829 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 12:27 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 09:55 | Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 09:55 | Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 09:54 | LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs G2 HEL (BO5) - LGC Rising Playoffs | SELL | 0.0493632959 | $0.26 |
| 10-14 09:54 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.67 | $4.30 |
| 10-14 02:11 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.6999999067 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 02:11 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.6999999067 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 01:54 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.6999999067 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 01:39 | Capitals vs. Hurricanes | SELL | 0.999 | $5.07 |
| 10-13 20:18 | Capitals vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $1.50 |
| 10-13 18:50 | Capitals vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $1.50 |
| 10-13 18:32 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.50 |
| 10-13 18:14 | LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs G2 HEL (BO5) - LGC Rising Playoffs | BUY | 0.2806451396 | $1.50 |