0x079a1a5052e02caa1a67562c3cac2b2a7fc81f81
0x079a1a5052e02caa1a67562c3cac2b2a7fc81f81
- Realised P&L
- $0.23
- Volume
- $32.93
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $4.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.901 | 0.962 | $2.14 | +$0.13 |
| Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.984 | $2.02 | +$0.01 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.043 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.23at 0.799Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$0.02at 0.979Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$0.00at 0.998Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$-0.06at 0.007Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.95at 0.038Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:23 | Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:22 | Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:04 | Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.986 | $1.01 |
| 11-01 11:57 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.80 |
| 11-01 07:05 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 11-01 07:01 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 11-01 06:23 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 11-01 03:00 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 10-29 22:43 | Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.24 |
| 10-29 06:12 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 06:11 | Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0376724 | $0.94 |
| 10-29 06:11 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 06:02 | Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 06:02 | Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.791 | $0.99 |
| 10-29 05:58 | Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.01 |