lisadouglas
0x0797dcd26eaf60c3eb5b062227d5811300a524a8
- Realised P&L
- $-18.42
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $7.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%? · No | 0.770 | 0.815 | $7.12 | +$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.22at 0.996Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?
- +$5.75at 0.700Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
- +$5.50at 0.730Argentina vs. Benin: Both Teams to Score
- +$0.13at 0.993Yoon out of custody by July 31?
- +$0.10at 0.995Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:28 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.02 |
| 01-30 15:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.76 |
| 01-30 14:13 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.36 |
| 01-30 13:11 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.62 |
| 12-29 23:31 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.81 |
| 12-29 23:19 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999309 | $10.28 |
| 12-29 22:18 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.15 |
| 12-29 21:03 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $16.09 |
| 10-30 22:19 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.43 |
| 10-30 18:53 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.99 |
| 09-29 09:36 | Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.60 |
| 09-28 23:44 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9985352005 | $11.73 |
| 09-28 22:49 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $19.48 |
| 08-30 15:03 | Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.79 |
| 08-30 15:02 | Will Solana reach $250 in August? | BUY | 0.9989999523 | $13.35 |