PolyBot

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Traders

Thundyr

0x0791ed642affcde8b2c7b709c1545e84b0bf385b

Realised P&L
$-4.5k
Volume
$68.2k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$51.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? · No0.6700.905$18.10+$4.70
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4900.805$16.10+$6.30
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · No0.2900.670$13.40+$7.60
Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? · No0.1600.125$2.50−$0.70
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? · No0.4600.195$1.28−$1.75
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? · Yes0.1500.025$0.12−$0.63
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$17.00
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury · Seattle Storm0.2900.000$0.00−$174.00
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo · Toronto Tempo0.2990.000$0.00−$179.70
Warriors vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.3900.000$0.00−$15.60
Will LeBron James win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00−$27.95
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.4100.000$0.00−$2.7k
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$12.77
Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx · Minnesota Lynx0.8800.000$0.00−$879.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 06:52Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.958$19.16
09-05 07:24Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.86$17.20
08-29 03:27US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?BUY0.87$17.40
08-22 14:21Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.54$10.80
08-22 14:21Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.54$10.80
08-15 04:18Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?SELL0.491$7.36
08-15 04:18Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?SELL0.492$2.46
08-13 09:57Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?BUY0.36$18.00
07-29 11:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?BUY0.94$18.79
07-22 16:11Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.77$15.40
07-16 08:54Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?BUY0.87$17.40
07-07 02:48Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.86$17.20
06-29 06:01Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by June 30, 2026?BUY0.985$19.70
06-21 03:13Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota LynxBUY0.88$384.20
06-21 03:12Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas AcesBUY0.38$557.24