Thundyr
0x0791ed642affcde8b2c7b709c1545e84b0bf385b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $68.2k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $51.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.620Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$820.26at 0.517Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun
- +$718.50at 0.577Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$407.40at 0.580Celtics vs. Nuggets
- +$383.26at 0.070Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:52 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.958 | $19.16 |
| 09-05 07:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 08-29 03:27 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 08-22 14:21 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 08-22 14:21 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 08-15 04:18 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%? | SELL | 0.491 | $7.36 |
| 08-15 04:18 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%? | SELL | 0.492 | $2.46 |
| 08-13 09:57 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 07-29 11:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 07-22 16:11 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 07-16 08:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 07-07 02:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 06-29 06:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.70 |
| 06-21 03:13 | Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.88 | $384.20 |
| 06-21 03:12 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.38 | $557.24 |