Ar7hurbarbosa
0x078853e9fdd141b8085a58892d2fc45f278f20bc
- Realised P&L
- $171.94
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $28.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.031 | $28.70 | −$98.41 |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.34 |
| UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Alexandre Pantoja | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.18at 0.004Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$18.88at 0.252Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 19:26 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3514798925 | $73.24 |
| 09-19 19:13 | Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $4.34 |
| 09-19 19:13 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 19:46 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | BUY | 0.056594444 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 14:53 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0278023303 | $152.07 |
| 08-31 01:53 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0142633804 | $78.01 |
| 08-27 20:36 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2445109754 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 20:32 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.24 | $0.94 |
| 08-27 12:56 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | BUY | 0.288 | $8.24 |
| 08-27 12:51 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | BUY | 0.287 | $28.70 |
| 08-27 12:41 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | BUY | 0.286 | $3.15 |
| 08-27 12:30 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | BUY | 0.09 | $54.00 |
| 08-27 01:54 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0029999997 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 01:53 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0029999999 | $20.00 |
| 08-27 01:48 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0119999989 | $11.27 |