arehovbro
0x07855e710aaefc554a7251869b8525f94ae8f62e
- Realised P&L
- $-25.27
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $327.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
- +$0.30at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 20?
- +$0.30at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 20?
- +$0.30at 0.970Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on September 20?
- +$0.30at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8184307368 | $23.73 |
| 09-21 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $23.68 |
| 09-21 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.1488335462 | $13.98 |
| 09-21 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8799999881 | $23.66 |
| 09-21 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 09-21 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.0999789607 | $23.76 |
| 09-21 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.117272314 | $7.74 |
| 09-21 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.258891222 | $23.80 |
| 09-18 10:26 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.87 |
| 09-14 09:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.95 |
| 09-14 09:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.02 |
| 09-14 00:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-14 00:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-13 23:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-13 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $2.60 |