PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

duckyduckybathtime

0x076c05b742f2663631a88a7cc9f108e6ec254cb9

Realised P&L
$1.49
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$501.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.3690.500$170.37+$44.55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1780.295$79.77+$31.56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5280.605$79.20+$10.04
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.4280.525$71.12+$13.17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.5990.375$37.58$22.42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · No0.4930.285$23.32$17.02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.036$12.77$0.71
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2210.170$10.07$3.00
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.8410.815$9.66$0.31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.5900.210$8.47$15.34
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribed" during his next YouTube video? · Yes0.5800.480$6.61$1.38
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.4150.360$5.40$0.83
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.5600.290$3.79$3.53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7300.735$3.67+$0.02
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027? · Yes0.1500.125$1.21$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 12:09US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.36$29.46
08-04 03:35US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.038$13.47
08-03 11:07Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribed" during his next YouTube video?BUY0.58$7.99
08-03 08:26US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.43$35.10
08-03 01:47Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.429999997$45.28
08-02 12:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6$30.00
08-02 12:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5973140736$30.00
08-02 12:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.57$27.59
08-02 10:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.23$36.80
08-02 06:51US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.1920091623$20.54
08-02 05:12US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.26$10.15
08-01 23:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.1699999938$21.35
08-01 23:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.61$21.35
08-01 23:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.1699999964$35.35
08-01 23:18US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.14$20.44