duckyduckybathtime
0x076c05b742f2663631a88a7cc9f108e6ec254cb9
- Realised P&L
- $1.49
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $501.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.35at 0.687Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
- +$10.25at 0.140US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
- +$8.79at 0.595Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
- +$8.23at 0.110Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
- +$1.82at 0.660Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $29.46 |
| 08-04 03:35 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $13.47 |
| 08-03 11:07 | Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribed" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.58 | $7.99 |
| 08-03 08:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $35.10 |
| 08-03 01:47 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.429999997 | $45.28 |
| 08-02 12:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 12:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5973140736 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 12:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $27.59 |
| 08-02 10:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $36.80 |
| 08-02 06:51 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.1920091623 | $20.54 |
| 08-02 05:12 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $10.15 |
| 08-01 23:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.1699999938 | $21.35 |
| 08-01 23:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.61 | $21.35 |
| 08-01 23:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.1699999964 | $35.35 |
| 08-01 23:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $20.44 |