0x076BAF4f9155d6d596BBcd2E380c798a5f1357AF-1773255639062
0x076baf4f9155d6d596bbcd2e380c798a5f1357af
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $8.34M
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $207.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.245 | $200.66 | −$7.95 |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.335 | $6.47 | +$1.25 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.710Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$2.7kat 0.110England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
- +$1.9kat 0.680Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
- +$1.5kat 0.760Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$915.45at 0.830Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.415 | $0.11 |
| 07-18 22:52 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.024 | $0.10 |
| 07-15 21:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.418 | $418.00 |
| 07-14 19:12 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.435 | $0.43 |
| 07-12 23:04 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 07-11 23:22 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 07-11 21:02 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.3275 | $0.24 |
| 07-11 20:57 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.325 | $32.50 |
| 07-11 19:34 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3225 | $32.25 |
| 07-07 16:19 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.3 | $0.14 |
| 07-07 16:16 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.09 |
| 07-06 17:38 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.33 | $0.10 |
| 07-05 21:42 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.37657 | $1.5k |
| 07-05 21:15 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.83 | $830.00 |
| 07-05 19:10 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.33 | $1.3k |