0x076BAF4f9155d6d596BBcd2E380c798a5f1357AF-1773255639062
0x076baf4f9155d6d596bbcd2e380c798a5f1357af
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $8.96M
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $171.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.140 | $115.97 | −$84.04 |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.068 | $55.28 | −$142.54 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.710Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$2.7kat 0.110England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
- +$1.9kat 0.680Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
- +$1.5kat 0.760Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$915.45at 0.830Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 19:17 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22? | SELL | 0.3533618673 | $1.1k |
| 08-22 02:28 | Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-21? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.38 |
| 08-22 00:51 | Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-22? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.27 |
| 08-22 00:51 | Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.13 |
| 08-21 23:07 | Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.42 | $11.57 |
| 08-21 00:44 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.06 |
| 08-20 15:12 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.94 |
| 08-20 15:11 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 08-19 23:36 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19? | SELL | 0.39 | $9.55 |
| 08-19 23:33 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.31 |
| 08-19 19:05 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.34 |
| 08-16 18:44 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.15 |
| 07-19 19:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.415 | $0.11 |
| 07-18 22:52 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.024 | $0.10 |
| 07-15 21:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.418 | $418.00 |