0x075D0336F4639D8035329539AA6c88C14651d614-1766442519740
0x075d0336f4639d8035329539aa6c88c14651d614
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $609.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.534 | 0.543 | $3.8k | +$68.33 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $399.02 | −$167.33 |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $75.00 | −$53.49 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $63.73 | −$5.62 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $33.36 | −$115.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.00at 0.430Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$6.54at 0.070Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$5.14at 0.053Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.00at 0.400Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.72at 0.660Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:26 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.06 |
| 09-16 03:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.545 | $2.2k |
| 09-12 20:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.505 | $1.4k |
| 09-10 19:26 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.10 |
| 09-10 19:24 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $12.00 |
| 08-25 08:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.071 | $0.07 |
| 08-25 07:24 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.071 | $3.55 |
| 08-25 07:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.068 | $0.07 |
| 08-24 20:43 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.30 |
| 08-24 20:08 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.50 |
| 08-24 17:13 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.10 |
| 08-23 21:16 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.02 |
| 08-23 21:03 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.50 |
| 08-23 21:01 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 08-23 20:12 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.10 |