grumpyfi
0x075bc31a1566a10c9af05f1c5ff3018a58112d9e
- Realised P&L
- $70.42
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $103.51
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.08at 0.588Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$25.00at 0.800Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?
- +$14.39at 0.410Packers vs. Lions
- +$11.67at 0.461Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?
- +$11.24at 0.471Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 09:40 | Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-23 09:40 | Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 01-28 09:01 | Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | BUY | 0.7139999919 | $20.00 |
| 01-24 15:14 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $20.00 |
| 01-24 15:14 | Will India join the Board of Peace? | BUY | 0.7799999719 | $20.00 |
| 01-22 11:00 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $10.67 |
| 01-22 10:59 | Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum? | BUY | 0.8879999957 | $20.00 |
| 01-12 09:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7623762263 | $10.00 |
| 01-12 09:16 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 01-08 09:32 | Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31? | BUY | 0.8599999742 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 23:16 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 23:16 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 16:52 | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison? | BUY | 0.9699999331 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 16:42 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999672 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 16:07 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? | BUY | 0.4707866941 | $10.00 |