PolyBot

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Traders

grumpyfi

0x075bc31a1566a10c9af05f1c5ff3018a58112d9e

Realised P&L
$70.42
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$103.51

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8500.972$22.86+$2.86
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.8200.998$12.16+$2.16
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.8300.990$11.92+$1.92
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7700.895$11.62+$1.62
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8300.961$11.57+$1.57
Macron out by June 30, 2026? · No0.8901.000$11.24+$1.24
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9800.999$10.19+$0.19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8800.639$7.27$2.73
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3700.052$1.42$8.58
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.9200.102$1.10$8.90
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.7620.080$1.04$8.96
Deel IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6200.045$0.73$9.27
Celonis IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4830.018$0.38$9.62
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? · Yes0.7140.000$0.00$20.00
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-23 09:40Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?SELL0.001$0.01
03-23 09:40Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?SELL0.001$0.01
01-28 09:01Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?BUY0.7139999919$20.00
01-24 15:14U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?BUY0.7299999974$20.00
01-24 15:14Will India join the Board of Peace?BUY0.7799999719$20.00
01-22 11:00Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?BUY0.66$10.67
01-22 10:59Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?BUY0.8879999957$20.00
01-12 09:17Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7623762263$10.00
01-12 09:16Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.8499999957$20.00
01-08 09:32Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?BUY0.8599999742$10.00
01-07 23:16Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?BUY0.8$10.00
01-07 23:16Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
01-07 16:52Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?BUY0.9699999331$10.00
01-07 16:42Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.8199999672$10.00
01-07 16:07Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?BUY0.4707866941$10.00