0x0752262a9ffae4bc2288ca606136f61228cb9ea6
- Realised P&L
- $-6.69
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $7.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.009 | $4.75 | +$3.75 |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.292 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · No | 0.250 | 0.095 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes | 0.312 | 0.110 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.058 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.075 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
| Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes | 0.219 | 0.026 | $0.12 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.45at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.68at 0.027French election called by June 30, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.021Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.00at 0.034Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.00at 0.053Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 17:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 17:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 17:20 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 17:20 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 17:20 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 07:53 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 07:53 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 07:52 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.2259998639 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 07:52 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 07:52 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 07:52 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.3569998276 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 07:51 | French election called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.68 |
| 04-26 07:50 | Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | BUY | 0.2189998312 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 07:50 | Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | BUY | 0.2469998748 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 07:50 | Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | BUY | 0.3119998053 | $1.00 |