0x074bB7620e553cF584938C50de2a9e3EC5a44EE3-1769265950990
0x074bb7620e553cf584938c50de2a9e3ec5a44ee3
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $169.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.015 | $169.03 | −$7.2k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.80 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.768 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$297.98 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.80 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.830Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$86.20at 0.138Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$66.65at 0.667Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$41.90at 0.790Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
- +$41.27at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.1k |
| 09-28 07:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.39 |
| 09-24 08:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 06-23 09:03 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 05-09 02:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9? | BUY | 0.81 | $20.25 |
| 05-07 01:56 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 04-13 04:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | BUY | 0.7 | $34.16 |