0x0745aDE57D00dF793AC60225d773126896c84A1b-1781873624676
0x0745ade57d00df793ac60225d773126896c84a1b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $126.1k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$208.57at 0.229Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$160.15at 0.337Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- +$105.45at 0.712Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
- +$98.50at 0.507Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$57.54at 0.117Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 20:46 | Will Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 09-19 20:15 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8299999842 | $30.00 |
| 09-10 17:55 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $30.00 |
| 09-10 17:21 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | SELL | 0.974 | $62.28 |
| 09-09 19:07 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.27 |
| 09-09 16:54 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SELL | 0.1925 | $7.70 |
| 09-09 16:53 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 16:53 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4113614072 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 16:52 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? | SELL | 0.905 | $17.74 |
| 09-08 17:15 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.1198660757 | $25.15 |
| 09-07 14:13 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.1225359256 | $28.99 |
| 09-07 14:13 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 09-06 18:09 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 18:05 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7? | BUY | 0.2989033982 | $30.00 |
| 09-06 18:04 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | BUY | 0.5899999992 | $30.00 |