PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0740C8B8a88b5a040d4592C41617C6A085121AD4-1783087656036

0x0740c8b8a88b5a040d4592c41617c6a085121ad4

Realised P&L
$-353.66
Volume
$74.2k
Markets traded
2,348
Open portfolio
$89.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,348
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Carlos Portinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? · Yes0.0600.296$39.54+$31.54
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.0830.045$12.16−$10.36
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.0130.021$10.50+$4.13
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.3400.425$10.00+$2.00
Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.1300.160$8.84+$1.66
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · No0.4100.240$3.28−$2.32
Will Digger win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1300.049$2.98−$5.02
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.0120.003$0.89−$3.26
Will Anthony Joshua be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes0.0120.048$0.43+$0.32
Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0120.011$0.42−$0.04
Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes0.0330.158$0.41+$0.32
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? · Yes0.0290.001$0.28−$7.72
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? · Yes0.2100.001$0.02−$7.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 21:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-06 20:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.6299999811$5.00
09-06 14:13Will Lacy or Marlon die to a blaze?SELL0.0959066721$2.34
09-06 10:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.5899999705$5.00
09-06 02:44Will Lacy or Marlon die to a wither skeleton?SELL0.16$5.28
09-05 22:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.4$5.00
09-05 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.6299999811$5.00
09-05 16:01Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?BUY0.07$7.00
09-05 16:00Will Carlos Portinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?BUY0.06$8.00
09-05 04:10Will Lacy or Marlon die to an ender dragon?SELL0.05$1.64
09-05 03:12Will Lacy and Marlon have between 2 and 3 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?SELL0.01$0.19
09-05 01:52Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?SELL0.07$1.22
09-05 00:49Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?SELL0.17$0.45
09-04 22:54Will Lacy and Marlon have between 2 and 3 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?BUY0.42$7.82
09-04 22:44Will Lacy and Marlon have between 150 and 199 Warzone deaths during the marathon?BUY0.09173778$7.41