0x0740C8B8a88b5a040d4592C41617C6A085121AD4-1783087656036
0x0740c8b8a88b5a040d4592c41617c6a085121ad4
- Realised P&L
- $-353.66
- Volume
- $74.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,348
- Open portfolio
- $89.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,348
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$735.28at 0.028Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$80.73at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$80.57at 0.281Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$77.83at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
- +$71.71at 0.040Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 21:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 14:13 | Will Lacy or Marlon die to a blaze? | SELL | 0.0959066721 | $2.34 |
| 09-06 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 02:44 | Will Lacy or Marlon die to a wither skeleton? | SELL | 0.16 | $5.28 |
| 09-05 22:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 16:01 | Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-05 16:00 | Will Carlos Portinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | BUY | 0.06 | $8.00 |
| 09-05 04:10 | Will Lacy or Marlon die to an ender dragon? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.64 |
| 09-05 03:12 | Will Lacy and Marlon have between 2 and 3 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.19 |
| 09-05 01:52 | Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.22 |
| 09-05 00:49 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.45 |
| 09-04 22:54 | Will Lacy and Marlon have between 2 and 3 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.42 | $7.82 |
| 09-04 22:44 | Will Lacy and Marlon have between 150 and 199 Warzone deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.09173778 | $7.41 |