0x072d36d1e4376d13adc86cd2114bbcfb615b0d9a
0x072d36d1e4376d13adc86cd2114bbcfb615b0d9a
- Realised P&L
- $13.56
- Volume
- $380.13
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $11.52
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.930 | $6.00 | +$4.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.910 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? · Down | 0.350 | 0.405 | $2.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.230 | $0.87 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$3.25at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$3.08at 0.400Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.400US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 08:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 00:11 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 16:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:07 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 01:22 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 12:54 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 02:03 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 17:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599999651 | $1.89 |
| 09-17 07:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 09-16 15:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 07:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 23:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 01:57 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |