lugosix
0x071ecbac77a7d777a90fedacf52b07781f9aa103
- Realised P&L
- $-22.4k
- Volume
- $2.43M
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $48.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.060 | $48.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $60k | 0.574 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$866.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23? · No | 0.777 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET · Down | 0.607 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.761Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?
- +$5.9kat 0.826Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
- +$5.4kat 0.715Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
- +$5.2kat 0.862Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?
- +$4.0kat 0.893Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 01:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 08-20 17:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.38101 | $381.01 |
| 08-20 17:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.3807 | $38.07 |
| 08-20 17:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.4190667673 | $222.19 |
| 08-20 17:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.38905 | $38.91 |
| 08-20 17:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.38875 | $37.32 |
| 08-20 17:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.4155 | $5.98 |
| 08-20 17:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.4091341991 | $567.06 |
| 08-20 17:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.7813590173 | $503.79 |
| 08-20 17:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.37 | $9.99 |
| 08-20 14:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.6750156601 | $1.4k |
| 08-20 14:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.78 |
| 08-20 08:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.6599704841 | $1.1k |
| 08-20 08:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.1985043712 | $47.23 |
| 08-20 08:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.302 | $906.00 |