PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alDr3an

0x071927a1383a76217ff12ce8325f94077c1783f0

Realised P&L
$-77.78
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$226.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.3800.415$81.91+$6.91
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.255$49.04−$0.96
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1800.225$37.50+$7.50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.145$31.07+$1.07
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.135$27.00−$3.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$63.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$6.00
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09? · Yes0.4270.000$0.00−$22.00
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$22.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$25.00
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 13:20Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999986$30.00
10-07 13:20Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999997$20.00
10-07 13:19Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.3799999996$40.00
10-07 13:19Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.3799999965$35.00
08-20 12:47Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.15$30.00
08-20 12:47Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999962$30.00
08-20 12:46Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1799999958$30.00
08-20 12:43Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.25$22.00
07-19 17:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999984$37.86
07-18 18:49Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999802$12.00
07-18 18:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999978$50.00
07-17 15:50Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999948$36.00
07-17 15:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999982$121.00
07-16 04:58Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4199999706$8.00
07-16 04:58Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4199999986$55.00