gctrader
0x0712410db8d726269abce3e40f58366a260ac38a
- Realised P&L
- $-266.10
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $110.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.49at 0.450 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$67.97at 0.320US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$47.38at 0.610Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
- +$24.35at 0.610Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$15.22at 0.847Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:54 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-01 12:52 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | SELL | 0.934 | $2.76 |
| 10-01 12:52 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | SELL | 0.937 | $27.64 |
| 10-01 12:51 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.43 |
| 09-26 12:34 | Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.20 |
| 09-26 12:34 | Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | SELL | 0.9764985075 | $65.43 |
| 09-26 04:42 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.68 |
| 09-26 04:42 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $1.63 |
| 09-25 13:11 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6299999911 | $40.38 |
| 09-25 13:11 | Senate control favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.1499999984 | $9.62 |
| 09-14 13:13 | Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | BUY | 0.87 | $58.29 |
| 09-14 13:13 | Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0151044776 | $1.01 |
| 09-13 03:04 | Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.087301 | $8.73 |
| 09-13 03:04 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 09-03 14:57 | Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.9544691165 | $61.04 |