PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gctrader

0x0712410db8d726269abce3e40f58366a260ac38a

Realised P&L
$-266.10
Volume
$9.8k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$110.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.6300.645$41.34+$0.96
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.8400.565$30.51−$14.85
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.9350.953$22.53+$0.42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.265$13.25+$8.75
Senate control favorite on November 2? · Republican Party0.1500.041$2.63−$6.99
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0850.059$0.71−$0.31
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00−$25.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · Yes0.6380.000$0.00−$210.00
Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$8.73
Will 125 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 12:54Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?SELL0.999$99.90
10-01 12:52Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?SELL0.934$2.76
10-01 12:52Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?SELL0.937$27.64
10-01 12:51Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?SELL0.013$0.43
09-26 12:34Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026?SELL0.003$0.20
09-26 12:34Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 1%?SELL0.9764985075$65.43
09-26 04:42Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.03$1.68
09-26 04:42Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.038$1.63
09-25 13:11Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6299999911$40.38
09-25 13:11Senate control favorite on November 2?BUY0.1499999984$9.62
09-14 13:13Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 1%?BUY0.87$58.29
09-14 13:13Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0151044776$1.01
09-13 03:04Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?BUY0.087301$8.73
09-13 03:04Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?BUY0.84$84.00
09-03 14:57Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?SELL0.9544691165$61.04